Democratic Convention Begins With Uncertainty
(UnitedVoice.com) – All eyes will be on the Democratic Party’s convention this week as presumptive nominees Joe Biden and Kamala Harris try to remake themselves and the party. The virtual conference kicks off amid falling poll numbers, a growing enthusiasm gap, violent riots around the country, defunding the police controversies, and a deep split between the far left and moderates over key policy issues. However, the duo will likely target Trump more than they will prop up their flailing campaign.
Despite the media and Democratic narrative of an inclusive and united party, Biden’s campaign is anything but certain. This week, they have one goal: jump-start the campaign and spark some enthusiasm. However, it’s likely that the duo will target Trump more than they will prop up their flailing candidate.
Obama Expresses Concerns Privately
While the party struggles to come together, former President Barack Obama privately expressed concerns about Biden’s ability to pull out the win. Tensions between the two have lingered since the 2016 campaign when Obama backed Hillary Clinton. This year, Obama didn’t support his former vice president until it was clear he had the delegates to be the Democratic nominee.
In a recent article in Politico, Obama said to at least one Democrat, “Don’t underestimate Joe’s ability to f— things up.” The former president also told Democrats he’s concerned Biden lacks an intimate connection with voters.
Biden Comes Out of the Basement
To this point, Biden has remained relatively quiet and out of sight. When he has come out of the basement, he has created controversies with the Black community. In May, he told “Charlamagne tha God” that Blacks who don’t vote for him, “ain’t Black.” In the last few weeks, he said that Blacks were all the same, unlike Hispanics, who are very diverse.
Last week, Biden selected Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) as his vice-presidential running mate. Harris has issues of her own within the far left of the party as a previous prosecutor, district attorney, and California state attorney general. However, like Biden, she has a history of lying. This could become problematic as they try to accuse Trump of not telling the truth.
Is Kamala Harris the Difference Maker?
Biden hopes Harris can help bridge the enthusiasm gap within his base. The problem is that vice presidential nominees rarely drive votes. However, they can significantly damage a presidential campaign.
In 2008, the late Republican candidate Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) experienced that firsthand when he nominated former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK). Palin made misstatements and was ridiculed harshly by the media. Some believe she was partly responsible for McCain’s loss to Obama.
Numerous polls show that President Trump has much higher enthusiasm levels in the Republican Party than Biden does in the Democratic Party. In a recent survey by the Economist/YouGov, 63% of Republicans said they were more enthusiastic about voting in 2020 than in previous years. Only 52% of Biden supporters said the same.
Elections are not about polls. They are about turnout. In any state, all a presidential candidate needs to win is to surpass the 50% mark.
The Week That Defines a Campaign
This week, Democrats will try to give the appearance to America that all is good in the Democratic Party. Can they pull it off without splitting the party and depressing their voters? If 2016 was any indication, they are in trouble if the far left causes a stir. Already, there are rumblings that Progressive Liberal Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) plans to nominate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT).
While Democrats bloviate about Trump, the division in the party could spell disaster during the convention. If it does, all bets are off. Anything can happen. If things go south, it could be lights out for the Biden/Harris campaign before it even gets rolling.
By Don Purdum, Freelance Contributor
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